What if you invested $10,000 in Amazon 10 years ago?
Amazon shares have soared 612% in the last 10 years alongside its immense success, even taking into account the sell-off in 2022. As a result, those who bought $10,000 worth of Amazon's stock in January 2013 would have $78,138.51 today, with an annual rate of return of 22.42%.
If you had invested in Amazon ten years ago, you're probably feeling pretty good about your investment today. According to our calculations, a $1000 investment made in November 2013 would be worth $8,061.01, or a gain of 706.10%, as of November 21, 2023, and this return excludes dividends but includes price increases.
As a result, $10,000 in AMZN stock purchased 20 years ago would now be worth $645,262. A $10,000 investment in the S&P over the same period, however, would amount to $33,452.
Ten Year Stock Price Total Return for Amazon.com is calculated as follows: Last Close Price [ 174.45 ] / Adj Prior Close Price [ 18.09 ] (-) 1 (=) Total Return [ 864.4% ] Prior price dividend adjustment factor is 1.00.
Despite recent highs, considerations of past performance, financial strength, and growth potential reveal a positive outlook for 2024. Despite a 60% surge in the last year, Amazon shares have yet to reach their 2021 peak. '
That means a $10,000 investment at its IPO would be worth a cool $13 million today. Even a more modest investment of $1,000 would have yielded a profit of about $1.3 million. Image source: Getty Images.
Amazon stock hit $2,000 per share for the first time Thursday. Shares rose as much as 1.4 percent to $2,025.57 but ultimately shied away from the record high to close at $2,002.38.
Had the average Joe decided to save $5,000 and spend it on Amazon's stock when it first hit the public markets 20 years ago, they be worth at least $2.4 million today. While those returns would have made the average Joe quite happy, $2.4 million would've hardly been noticeable in Buffett's now $72 billion net worth.
Wall Street analysts expect Amazon to reach a new high. Of the 60 Amazon stock analysts following the company, 98% hold a buy rating, according to FactSet. Further, FactSet data shows those analysts have, on average, set a 12-month price target of 206 for Amazon stock, according to FactSet.
Investors who bought $1,000 of Amazon shares at the time of its IPO could have bought 18.55 AMZN shares based on the $18 price point. Stock splits of Amazon in June 1998 (2:1), January 1999 (3:1), September 1999 (2:1) and June 2022 (20:1) would have turned the 18.55 AMZN shares into 13,334.4 shares today.
Will Amazon stock go back up to $2,000?
Well, most analysts tend to agree. The current Amazon stock forecast suggests this tech giant's fair value will reach $2,000 per share by 2030. And this comes with lightened projections due to the current bear market and overall uncertainty. Once the market recovers, these projections will most likely improve.
Period (start-of-year to end-of-2023) | Average annual S&P 500 return |
---|---|
5 years (2019-2023) | 15.36% |
10 years (2014-2023) | 11.02% |
15 years (2009-2023) | 12.63% |
20 years (2004-2023) | 9.00% |
Year | Prediction | Change |
---|---|---|
2027 | $ 359.25 | 111.94% |
2028 | $ 461.46 | 172.23% |
2029 | $ 592.75 | 249.68% |
2030 | $ 761.39 | 349.17% |
But, with such great size, comes a set of unique risks. The biggest risks of investing in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) stock are increasing competition, profit potential uncertainty, revenue growth uncertainty, speculative valuation and share price volatility.
- Amazon is the dominant player in two key markets: e-commerce and cloud computing.
- While its profit margin remains slim, its cash flows continue to surge higher.
- The stock's price-to-sales ratio is still down from its peak valuation.
Those gains translate to a 36.6% compound annual growth rate for Apple compared to a 7.4% CAGR for the S&P 500 in that time. That means that $10,000 in AAPL stock purchased 20 years ago would be worth about $5.08 million today, assuming reinvested dividends.
If you invested $10,000 with founder Elon Musk 10 years ago, your stake would be worth $2.1 million now. That works out to a more than 70% average annual return. The same $10,000 put into the S&P 500 during that time grew just 274% to $37,376. That's just 14% compounded annually.
Accounting for the Tesla stock splits, this debut-day investor would hold 8,820 shares today. In other words, a $10,000 investment in Tesla's IPO in 2010 would now be worth a staggering $2,643,178. For those of you keeping score at home, this equates to a 26,332% increase in value in just over 12 years.
With Apple closing last week at $140.09, it means an initial $10,000 investment nearly 42 years ago would now be worth $14,246,593. Keep in mind that this figure doesn't take into account dividends paid. On a nominal basis, Apple's shares have gained 142,537% since their IPO, or about 18.8% on an annualized basis.
HubSpot (NYSE: HUBS) and MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI) fit that description. They have achieved five-year returns of 310% and 380%, respectively, qualifying both as stock split candidates in 2024. That share price appreciation was a product of financial strength and compelling growth prospects.
How many shares would $1000 buy at Amazon?
At the time of research, Amazon shares can be bought for $98.14. This means that it would be possible to buy 10 full shares of Amazon for $1,000. If your brokerage allows you to purchase fractional shares, you can buy 10.19 shares for $1,000.
Amazon's stock has split four times in total. The previous stock split occurred in July 1999, at 2:1. Before that, the stock split in November 1998 at 3:1, and in April 1998 at 2:1. Amazon has not indicated that its stock will split again anytime soon.
He founded Amazon in 1994 out of his garage with a $10,000 investment and help from his now ex-wife Mackenzie Scott. 7 Scott received a 4% stake in Amazon, worth $36 billion, at the time of their divorce in 2019. 8 Bezos stepped down as the CEO of Amazon in 2021 but has stayed on as the executive chair.
But if you were smart enough to invest $1,000 in Apple stock at the start of the year 2000, you'd be sitting on a monster gain of 21,230%. This means that modest investment would be worth a whopping $213,000 today (as of July 27).
In dollar terms, that $1,000 investment in 1986 would be worth a whopping $3.23 million today.